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Thursday, January 29, 2015

FOODS AND INNS LTD (BSE Code 507552) CMP 1000 (FACE VALUE RS 10)

FOODS AND INNS LTD (BSE Code 507552) CMP 1000 (FACE VALUE RS 10)

The Company :

The Company, a public limited company established in 1971 is primarily engaged in the business of processing and marketing fruit pulps, concentrates and spray dried fruit and vegetable powders both into domestic and international markets. The Company exports its products to various geographies such as Europe, Middle East, USA and Japan catering to companies in the foods, beverage and dairy industry.

The Company through its various divisions viz. Aseptic, Canning, Spray Drying and Frozen Fruits, IQF Vegetables and Snacks products makes a diverse portfolio of processed food products.

The Company presently operates from seven (7) processing units strategically located near the fruit and vegetable growing areas at Chittoor (Andhra Pradesh), Valsad (Gujarat), Nasik (Maharashtra) and Mumbai.

Company is in final stages of installing two new lines i.e. spray drying & flavor compound / blending in the western region. This will add capacities and also give opportunity in the new value added products.

The Company’s units at Chittoor and Nasik are FSSC 22000-2010 accredited by DNV Business Assurance for food safety management of the Company. --- Valsad unit of the Company is ISO 22000 certifi ed. In addition to the above, the Company’s units are SGF accredited in recognition of the quality practices adopted by the Company over the years.These certifications enable the Company to sell its products in the regulated markets like Europe, USA and Japan.
The Company derives significant portion of its income from sale of range of mango products both in domestic as well as international markets. The domestic business of the Company is driven by its own sales and marketing network. The Company participates in leading international trade fairs and exhibitions such as Anuga (Germany), Sial (France), Gulf Food (Dubai) enabling the Company to procure customer orders.

Due to the availability of the entire process line in-house, the Company’s dependence on third parties for providing specific and customized processed products to its customers reduces to a large extent. We believe that this ability to provide customized products to its customers is the key strength for further growth of the Company.

During the year the Company made capital investments at its manufacturing facilities in Chittoor and Nashik for enhancing the capacities to take advantage of growing domestic demand of our products and automation in material handling. This will reduce operating expense and upgrading system on farmer’s certificate programme to comply with new EU guidelines on food safety and security. The Company has also upgraded its existing fruit concentration line to produce Tomato Paste as per International standard. The first season business
response has been encouraging hence the company is considering setting up second plant in the western region. Also Company is at a final stage of negotiating project cost for food service & institutional pack for Tomato paste for fast food chain.The new spray drying plant will also being planned for commissioning in September, 2014.Further the Company has successfully negotiated contract manufacturing of value added fruit compounds and blend with the equipment supplied by leading EU Company for exclusive production for their requirement to be sold in domestic and neighboring countries.

The Products :

Aseptic :
Concentrates – Totapuri Mango Concentrate, Red Papaya Concentrate, White Guava Concentrate & Neelam

Mango Concentrate Puree : Alphonso Mango, Kesar Mango, Totapuri Mango, Raspuri Mango, White Guava, Pink Guava, Red Papaya, Sindura Mango, Alphonso Totapuri Blend

Canning :
Puree : Alphonso Mango, Sweetened Alphonso, Kesar Mango, Sweetened Kesar Mango, Totapuri Mango, Raspuri Mango.

Spray Dried : Alphonso Mango powder, Ripe Banana Powder, Tomato Juice Powder, Orange Juice Powder, Beetroot Juice Powder, Pineapple Juice Powder, Lemon Juice Powder

Organic Puree : Alphonso Mango Puree

The Valuation :

The company having TTM sales of Rs 350 Cr, TTM EPS of Rs 167 per share, belonging to ambitious and high growth Food sector which is the flavor of the current bull market, is trading at a ridiculously cheap market cap of just 150 Cr, (Sales to Market Cap of just 0.35) that gives us PE ratio of Just over 6.5.

Company has ROE of 18% and ROCE of 12%, which will increase significantly going forward, as new production lines have commenced for high margin value added products.

(If we compare peers, Freshtrop Fruits with TTM sales of 125 crore and EPS of 7 is trading at Market cap of over 210 Crore and PE of close to 25. Another Tricom Fruits with TTM sales of less than 1 lakh rupee and negative EPS, Edelweiss bought 11% stake into it at an undisclosed amount.)

While Foods & Inns is a profit making high growth company, so why cant it trade atleast at 15 PE of FY15 estimate EPS of more than 175, that brings us to fair valuation of price close to Rs 2600 per share, while this hidden gem is available at just Rs 1000, giving scope of immense appreciation in medium to long term. Investors must buy and sit tightly on this stock to earn multibagger returns, before it comes into limelight of media and analyst.

Capital of the company is just 1.45 Cr (1.45 million shares), out of which management holds 46%, FII 1.45, 28.55% with HNI Investors, leaving only less than 3 lakhs shares with minority shareholders.

This sector has huge potential, especially when PM of India, Shri Narendra Modi himself has said many times, that to avoid wastage of fruits due to lack of warehousing and cold storage, fruit farmers should get ready market if producers of cola drinks adds 5% of fruit juice into their drinks. This will create huge demand for entire manufacturing line of fruit processing industry.

Triggers :

As per latest news of 20th Jan, EU has lifted ban on import of mangoes from India, this will give the company huge and lucrative high margin market of more than 28 country bloc, which follows EU guidelines, earlier on November 2014, during the visit of Shri Narendra Modi to Japan, Japanese authorities has expedited
procedural obligations to step up Mango import from India. Since new government is serious to help food processing industries, many such steps are expected in future also, this will only help the company going forward, which could be huge positive for the entire industry.

Company may sell off their Deonar unit and shift production to its Valsad or Nasik unit to reduce the debt, which can add atleast Rs 60 to 70 to its yearly EPS

In coming budget, this particular sector is likely to get huge sops to encourage domestic food processing industries, increase in export rebate, reducing of duties and taxes, discount in interest rates, all these can add another Rs 20 to 30 to its yearly EPS

Since company is loaded with high debt, falling interest rates will directly add to the bottomline from here on.

Falling food inflation, Bumper harvest, Direct Fertilizer subsidy Transfer to farmers, Removing of supply side bottlenecks, will only help company to source raw material from growers at a cheaper rates.

Likely to go for 10:1 Split or announce liberal bonus to widen investor base.

Stock has been in Trade to Trade since last many months, likely to come out soon, which will see huge price impact on the upside, once the shackles of “T” group is removed

Reduction in fuel price will help company reduce transportation cost substantially


For more Hidden Gem Picks : http://hemanghigandhi.blogspot.in/

Monday, January 19, 2015

ALSTOM INDIA LTD - CMP 650 - "MAKE IN INDIA" THEME

ALSTOM India Ltd (CMP 650 Face Value Rs 10) :

Alstom, a global leader in energy generation, transmission and rail infrastructure, has gained an enviable reputation through the quality of its products and services. We are committed to customer satisfaction by continuously improving our products and setting the benchmark for innovative and environmentally conscious technologies. In India, Alstom offers full range of products and services for power generation, transport and transmission sector.

In the power sector, Alstom is a leader in clean technologies for all types of fuel including gas, coal, hydro, nuclear, solar, wind, etc. It offers a comprehensive range of power generation solutions - from integrated power plant to associated services including plant modernisation, maintenance and operational support.

A promoter of sustainable mobility, the Transport sector is the only multi specialist constructor in the railway sector covering everything from rolling stock and maintenance to signalling and infrastructures.

The Grid sector offers products, power electronics, automation and turnkey solutions, alongside a full range of services, to its customers across high, extra high and ultra-high voltages (66 kV to 765 kV/1200 kV). It designs and manufactures equipment and engineered turnkey solutions to manage power grids and transmit electricity from the power plant to the large end-user, be it a distribution utility or an industrial process or production facility.

At the heart of the development of Smart Grid, Alstom Grid in India offers fully localised products, services and integrated energy management solutions across the full energy value chain - from power generation, through transmission and distribution grids and to the large end user. It offers products and Services by Range, Market, Engineered Solutions and Smart Grid.

While quarterly sales have shown volatility between 450 cr to 700 cr for the last 10 quarters, operating profit has improved from 12 cr to 58 cr from Jun 12 to Sep 14. In the same period other income doubled from 19 to 38 crore, while EBIDT tripled from 32 cr to 97 cr., tax expenses rose from 6 cr to 41 cr.

Net profit rose from 13 cr to 86 crore, more than 7 times in last 10 quarters. Giving EPS of 12.8 in SEP 14 quarter, which was 1.92 in JUN 12.

The company has technology MOAT, which places it as a top notch player in Power Sector.

This debt free company has a good ROE of 25.94%, and ROCE of 22.11% for the last 3 years, which will only improve due to fall in input price and revival of power sector.

We expect company to post EPS of Rs 60 for FY16, which discounts CMP of Rs 650 at just 11 times 1 year forward earning, Going forward we expect stock price to touch 1200 in next 12 months discounting its current price to earning of 20 times at which all MNC companies trades at.

This is mainly due to Falling commodity prices along with cost control measures implemented by the company resulted in robust bottomline of the company, which can be seen in Sept quarter result.

Company maintains healthy dividend payout of 32.68%, which will double Dividend per share from current Rs 10 to Rs 20. Good performance to continue going forward, looking at manufacturing push by the government, plus good demand likely from power and energy sector added with demand from Railway Sector, as announced by PM Modi, as company is multi specialist constructor in Railway sector, covering everything from rolling stock and maintenance to signaling & infrastructure.

After GE takeover, AIL to become GE India, only listed GE company outside of USA. Company to get benefit of GE product portfolio & technology going forward.

For more such picks you can visit : http://hemanghigandhi.blogspot.in/